Management's Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Impact of the Year 2000 Issue
General
The Year 2000 issue is the result of computer programs being written
using two digits rather than four to identify the applicable year.
Computer programs that have date-sensitive software may recognize a date
using "00" as the year 1900 rather than the year 2000. If not corrected,
those programs could result in miscalculations or systems problems that
disrupt operations, including, among other things, a temporary inability
to process transactions, send invoices, or engage in similar business
activities.
Readiness
The Company is engaged in an enterprise-wide Year 2000 compliance
program, with the objective of completing the process for all critical
business systems by June 30, 1999. The Company's ISIS computer software
was designed with the Year 2000 issue in mind, and the Company believes
that it is Year 2000 compliant. However, the Company uses many different
systems and software programs to effect, process and summarize business
transactions, and the remediation efforts estimated to be required vary
depending upon the systems or sites involved. The following chart
summarizes the estimated Year 2000 readiness, as of January 30, 1999, of
the Company's program:
The Company has initiated formal communications with
significant suppliers to determine the extent to which the Company is at
risk to those third parties' failure to remediate their own Year 2000
issues. In select cases, the Company is involved in the verification of
the remediation efforts of those suppliers. The Company believes that
because of its large, diverse customer base, potential Year 2000
problems on the part of a customer will not be material to the Company.
There can be no guarantee that the systems of other companies on which
the Company relies or with which it does business will be timely
converted or converted compatibly with the Company or that such
deficiencies will not be material to the Company.
Costs
The total estimated cost of the Year 2000 project is between
$6,000,000 and $8,000,000 and is being funded through operating cash
flows. These costs are not expected to be material to the Company's
consolidated results of operations. Of the total project cost,
approximately $2,000,000 is for the purchase of new software or
equipment which will be capitalized. The remaining $4,000,000 to
$6,000,000 has been or will be expensed as incurred. In a number of
instances, the Company may decide to install new software or upgraded
versions of current software programs which are Year 2000 compliant. In
these instances, the Company may capitalize certain costs of the new
system in accordance with current accounting guidelines. As of January
30, 1999, the Company had spent approximately $4,200,000 on its Year
2000 remedial efforts. The Company has used internal and external
resources in its Year 2000 program, although the Company expects to rely
primarily on internal resources to complete its program initiatives.
Risks
The Company presently believes that its Year 2000 issue can be
mitigated through modifications to existing software and conversions to
new software for those sites which it believes may be affected. If
internal modifications and conversions are not made correctly, or are
not made in time, or if there are large scale Year 2000 problems with
the ability of the Company's customers to order or its suppliers to
provide products, then the Year 2000 issue could have a material adverse
impact on the operations of the Company.
Contingency Plans
The Company is evaluating, and plans to develop as necessary,
contingency plans to handle unresolved Year 2000 issues. For example,
the Company believes that it currently has alternative sources for most
of its suppliers. In addition, the Company believes that it could revert
to manual systems to process many of the transactions that it normally
handles by computerized processes although at a substantially reduced
volume because of the added time and order prioritizing that would be
required.
Management's estimates regarding total project costs and completion
dates are based on numerous assumptions of future events including the
availability of certain resources, third party modification plans and
other factors. There can be no assurance that these estimates will be
achieved, and specific factors that could cause actual results to differ
materially from those plans include the continued availability of
trained personnel in this area, the ability to locate and correct all
relevant computer codes and similar uncertainties.
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